GenetixBayEST. 2009
Glossary · Lab testing

Measurement uncertainty

Measurement uncertainty is the quantified range around a lab result within which the true value is expected to lie, typically stated as ± a value at about 95% confidence.

Also written uncertainty of measurementMUmeasurement error± uncertaintyexpanded uncertaintyerror bars

EstablishedDraft: awaiting expert reviewUpdated

Every measurement carries uncertainty from weighing, extraction, calibration, instrument response, the analyst and, above all, sampling. Laboratories accredited to ISO/IEC 17025 must estimate it. It is commonly reported as an expanded uncertainty (coverage factor k = 2, roughly 95% confidence), for example "total THC 21.0% ± 1.5% w/w".

In practice

That ±1.5% means a reading of 21.0% is consistent with a true value anywhere from about 19.5% to 22.5% for that sample. Two COAs of 20.1% and 21.7% from the same batch may not disagree at all. Uncertainty usually grows with heterogeneous samples: a single bud from the top of a plant can differ by several points from a lower one, which the lab's own uncertainty doesn't capture.

Units and formula

Same units as the result; also expressed as relative %. Expanded uncertainty U = k × combined standard uncertainty, with k = 2 for about 95% coverage.

Don't confuse with

  • LOD/LOQ: thresholds at the low end, not the spread of a result.
  • Lab-to-lab bias: a systematic offset, which uncertainty estimates may not include.

Myth check

Uncertainty explains small differences, not 10-point gaps. See buyer beware.

Related terms

Sources

  1. Ellison SLR, Williams A (eds). 2012. Eurachem/CITAC Guide: Quantifying Uncertainty in Analytical Measurement, 3rd edition..
  2. ISO/IEC 17025:2017. General requirements for the competence of testing and calibration laboratories. International Organization for Standardization, Geneva..
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